Johnny Football makes his first and probably final appearance at LSU this Saturday. LSU bottled him up last season but don’t expect a repeat of that performance. A few keys to the game (some cut and paste from 2 weeks ago):
* LSU must be able to run the ball. Under Les, the Tigers are 87-9 when they rush for 100 yards or more.
* The offense must click early. Les Miles is 64-6 at LSU when leading after the first quarter.
* The secondary is going to have to come up with at least 2 turnovers. The Tigers won’t force many punts, so turnovers and red zone defense are keys.
* Get off the field on 3rd down. Given what we have seen this year, I would be in favor of more risk taking by Chavis and crew on 3rd downs; we need to take some chances to create a big play.
LSU has played much better at home this season and is 13-1 in SEC home games since 2010. The Tigers are 31-2 in all home games since 2009. Those two loses were to Florida and Alabama, both ranked #1 in the country at the time of those games. Miles is 22-1 after a loss at LSU and has a career record of 4-2 versus A&M.
This is going to be a shootout, but look for LSU to make just a few more plays than A&M in the 4th quarter.
LSU 45 – A&M 42
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