Sunday, September 27, 2020

Air Raid Bombs Tigers

 


In retrospect, maybe we should have seen it coming.  LSU had only three starters on the field  from last season's national title game.  New faces were all over the field and on the sidelines.  Mike Leach has a senior QB to run his highly successful Air Raid offense.  Regardless, Saturday may have been one of the worst defensive performances in LSU history.  Let's break it all down.

Offense

* Miles Brennan was a little disappointing.  He finished with 345 yards and 3 TD's, but he never seemed comfortable or in command.  Maybe I expected too much after Joe Burrow.  In his defense, it was his first start and he was harried all game long.  The running game was only moderately effective. The receivers dropped some passes.  I do think there is room for Brennan to grow.  He will improve as the season goes along and I expect him to be one of the better QB's in the league by the end of the season.

* The offensive line was poor. Brennan was sacked seven times.  Some of them were on him, but there were a number of free rushers or linemen just getting beat in their one on one assignments.  The run game improved in the second half, but there is a lot of work to be done.

* The receivers were a mixed bag.  I believe Terrance Marshall (#6) had two drops, the most critical was on LSU's last drive.  Jaray Jenkins (#10) was a very nice surprise.  For all the hype we heard about Arik Gilbert (#2), I didn't see it.  He dropped the first pass thrown his way and his blocking was awful at times.  He's a true freshman and I know he will get much better, but that was far from a great start.

* Going into this game under Coach O, LSU was 31-3 when they gained more than 400 yards of total offense and 36-1 when scoring more than 30 points.  LSU did both yet still lost by 10. 

Defense

* Ali Gaye (#11) had a really nice game at his defensive end position.  He finished with three total tackles, two tackles for loss and a sack.  He also batted down multiple passes and brought pressure throughout the game.  Jabril Cox (#19) also played well.  He made a great play on a Costello pass which resulted in a pick six for the Tigers.

* LSU is number 1 in the country in rushing defense.  LSU is also dead last in the country in passing defense.

* LSU will have to give up the mantle of DBU for a while.  State did a great job of identifying the Tiger's weakest man in the secondary and went at him. It was a complete debacle across the board.  Darren Evans (#26) is completely out of his depth at this level.  Eli Ricks (#1) had a nice INT in the second half, but looked like a true freshman for most of the game.  Jay Ward (#5) had some nice moments, but he was beaten badly on Costello's final TD pass. Even Cordale Flott (#25), arguably LSU's best corner on the field had a rough outing.  JaCoby Stevens (#7) played well.  His leadership will be key going forward.

* The LSU defense forced 4 turnovers yet still allowed 44 points.

Special Teams

* No complaints here.  Tigers were very effective all game.

LSU goes on the road next week to Vanderbilt.  The Commodores gave A&M all they wanted in College Station losing 17-12.  I think that game says a lot more about A&M than it does Vandy.  Look for lots of improvement on both sides of the ball from the Tigers.  Vandy only mustered 255 total yards on offense against the Aggies.  Let's see if LSU's defense can rebound.  Offensively, let's see if the offensive line can take some steps forward to get the running game going.

Before Saturday, I thought LSU could compete with the top teams in the SEC this season but not win the division.  Right now, they look more like a 5-5 team than an 8-2 squad.  The Tigers need to rally...quickly.  This season will be a real test for coach O.  

LSU 38 - Vandy 24

Monday, September 21, 2020

Game week...Finally!!



At times I didn't know if we were going to make it.  But we are here!  Game week!

Many national pundits are questioning the Tigers this season.  It is not uncommon to see LSU ranked as low as 4th in the Western Division in some predictions.  The focus has been exclusively about what LSU has lost.  It is a mistake to overlook what LSU has coming back.

LSU goes into this weekend's opener a 16.5 point favorite, telling me the folks in Vegas still have faith in the Tigers.  Three things to look for:

1. Can LSU's three headed running attack get rolling?  Curry, Davis-Price and Emery are all listed as co-starters at the running back position on the depth chart released by Coach O today.  Establishing some rhythm in the running game will take pressure off QB Miles Brennan.

2. What will we see from the defense in terms of pressure and play calling?  Coach O has publicly expressed his displeasure with LSU's 2019 defense on more than one occasion.  In fairness, LSU finished 4th in the SEC in tackles for loss per game and 5th in sacks per game.  The real issue was redzone defense.  Opponents scored TD's on 65% of their redzone opportunities.  That ranked 12th in the SEC and 93rd in the country.

3. Last season, LSU outscored its 15 opponents 249 to 91 in the second quarter.  LSU was never outscored by an opponent in the second quarter in 2019.  The average half time score for the Tigers was 27-10.  Can LSU maintain that first half focus and put early pressure on opponents?

I expect LSU to come out throwing and running tempo against Mississippi State.  State will also come out throwing Leach's Air-Raid offense.  Look for LSU and new defensive coordinator Bo Pelini to pressure State's transfer QB KJ Costello.  I like the match-up of our secondary versus their receivers. Close early, but LSU will pull away with a balanced attack.

LSU 38 - State 20


College Football Playoff

Each week I will post my picks for the playoffs.

Alabama, Clemson, Texas, Ohio State