Sunday, September 26, 2010

Frustration Mounts


"It will only be a championship season, and that’s the only point and direction of this program. That’s where we’re headed."

-Les Miles

For Miles to deliver a championship in 2010, the offense must play better, particularly, Jordan Jefferson.  Among Tiger fans (and probably Tiger coaches) there is a tremendous amount of frustration with the offense.  LSU is currently ranked 115th out of 120 teams in passing offense.  Jefferson is ranked 113th in the country and dead last in the SEC in passing efficiency.  It appears that for some reason he has regressed from last season.  This is even more troubling when you consider the improvement by the offensive line and the running game.  Herb Tyler, where have you gone?

It seems clear that Jefferson is Miles’ guy.  Otherwise we would have seen Lee play a few meaningful snaps.  Miles believes that Jefferson gives LSU the best chance to win.  Having said that, it is also clear that the staff has VERY LITTLE faith in Jefferson.  The play calling is not fancy or diverse.  LSU must ‘out execute’ other teams because clearly they will not ‘out scheme’ any one.  Think about it, when was the last time you said, wow, that was a really great play call by LSU?

Miles’ plays Jefferson because unlike Lee, Jefferson is generally good at protecting the ball.  He had only 7 INT’s last season but is now on pace to finish this season with 12.  I assume Miles is willing to accept Jefferson’s shortcomings as long as he doesn’t kill LSU with turnovers.  Jefferson was sacked 37 times last season.  This year he is on pace for 12.  Again, Jefferson does not give up ‘negative’ plays.  I am not trying to justify Miles’ thought process, rather I am trying to explore the most likely scenario for why Lee remains firmly rooted to the bench.

The boos came cascading down last night as Jefferson’s play got worse as the game went along.  After starting 6 for 7, Jefferson went 4 for 15 finishing the game at 10 for 22 for 75 yards and 2 INT’s.  He still stares down receivers and can be terribly inaccurate. 

Last season, many of the talking heads on the local radio and in the nation media asked the question, “What is LSU’s identity?”  I think after four games that question has been answered in 2010.  LSU is going to play great defense, be excellent in special teams play and do just enough on offense to win the game.  The Tigers are going to run the ball and pass just enough to get by.  I believe the staff wants to shorten the game and reduce the number of drives by each team to cover up the offensive deficiencies.

The ultimate question then becomes, can LSU win with this philosophy?  More specifically, can LSU overtake Alabama and Florida in search of an SEC Title?  LSU has a national title worthy defense and special teams the envy of most teams in America.  But the offense may be the worst LSU has produced in the last 50 years.  In the age of spread offenses and with all the supposed talent on this team, the pathetic output of the offense is unacceptable.  I’m not saying Lee will be any better, but until he is given a chance, expect the booing to increase with every poor throw and missed wide receiver.

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Let's Dumb it Down

From Miles' press conference on Monday.

On wanting QB Jordan Jefferson to be more aggressive…

“Well, we just want him to play, have some fun, smile and maybe do some things that he’s more comfortable with.
Maybe it’s simplifying the game plan, or maybe it’s giving him the checks that he’s most comfortable with and really let him have some input on it. We know he can run the team. We know he has leadership ability. We just want to make him most productive. I just think we need to let him play.”

 Are you kidding me?  From what I can see, the game plan is not very sophisticated as it is.  Jefferson has been in the program three years and you are still having to simplify the game plan?  That's just great.

Monday, September 13, 2010

Time for a Change?

Please raise your hand if you have had about enough of Jordan Jefferson. The junior signal caller played his worst game in a Tiger uniform going 8 for 20 with only 96 yards and one INT. His QB rating for the game was an atrocious 70.32. By comparison, Auburn’s Cameron Newton rated out at 142.23 in his most recent game at MSU on Thursday night. Jefferson also ran the ball 13 times for a grand total of 13 yards. Jefferson was directly involved in 33 plays with a per play average of 3.3 yards. Garbage. I was in Jefferson’s camp and believed that this would be a break out season for him. While he played well versus UNC, he was abysmal this Saturday against the worst team in the SEC.

So what happens now? I hope Jefferson bounces back with a very good game against MSU. But I think Lee deserves a drive or two each half this weekend. You have to wonder about the level of confidence in Jefferson inside the LSU camp amongst coaches and players. LSU’s offensive line is playing better this season in pass protection and run blocking. Yet LSU is still ranked 107th in the nation is passing offense. Jefferson has had ample opportunity to make plays and hasn’t excelled, as you would expect from a player with his experience.

The defense is nasty. The Tigers are #2 nationally in sacks, #4 in tackles for loss and #4 in rushing defense giving up a paltry 44 yards a game on the ground. Through two games, the Tigers are only allowing opponents to convert on 20% of third down conversions. Drake Nevis has been a beast in the middle. IF the linebacker corps matures and the secondary rounds into shape, this looks to be a championship caliber defense.

A few other observations:

* What’s up with Michael Ford? He only got in the game at garbage time while true freshman Alfred Blue got a number of meaningful carries.

* Miles takes a lot of criticism but give him credit for sticking to his guns regarding the team’s offensive identity. LSU ran the ball 50 times for 280 yards. LSU ran a lot of two tight end sets looking to establish the ground game.

* LSU is averaging 5.17 yards a carry this season. Take out Jefferson’s 23 attempts and it moves to 6.73.

* Why are we still running the option?

LSU v.MSU

LSU gets State in the home opener this Saturday. The Bulldogs let a number of opportunities get away in their 17-14 loss to Auburn last week. MSU looked pedestrian on offense racking up only 117 rushing yards and 129 yards passing. I expect the game to be close in the first half with the Tigers pulling away late in the third quarter. I have it on a fairly reliable source that Lee will get an opportunity to play some meaningful snaps on Saturday. Let’s hope he comes out sharp and pushes for more playing time.

LSU 27 – MSU 13

Monday, September 06, 2010

1-0

I can say that almost without exception, it is better to give yourself 24 hours before writing about the Tigers. Be it a win or a loss, a little time to reflect and evaluate is invaluable.

I think it is fair to say that this was probably one of the more disheartening wins I’ve ever sat through. If you view the game standing alone, LSU’s performance could be explained away by any number of factors unique to that particular game. It was a season opener. It was at a neutral site. LSU has a number of new players on defense. UNC played with a great deal of determination. LSU let down after getting up by 20 in the first half.

But viewed in the light of Les Miles’ regime in Baton Rouge, the game was extremely troubling. How many times have we seen LSU fail to close out opponents? In three of LSU’s losses last season, the Tigers held leads going into the fourth quarter only to fade down the stretch. Against a team missing seven defensive starters, LSU’s offense mirrored last years’ unit. An inability to move the ball with any consistency and very questionable play calling were all too reminiscent of 2009. Did I also mention the sloppiness and lack of focus? Let’s start there.

* 8 penalties.
* The roughing the kicker penalty gave UNC the ball back and led to their first TD drive.
* The holding call on Hebert which brought back a nice TD run by Ridley.
* 5 turnovers.
* Speaking of Ridley, his two fumbles nearly cost LSU the game. With LSU driving for the clinching score early in the third quarter, Ridley fumbles at the UNC 12. Then late in the game with only a minute left he coughs it up again.
* 1 missed FG
* The secondary looked lost at times giving up over 400 yards passing.

On the plus side, Patrick Peterson is fantastic. His 244 return yards through 30 minutes allowed LSU to score 30 first half points. Minus the missed FG, special teams were fantastic.

The run defense was stellar giving up only 24 yards the entire game. Yates was sacked 4 times and the Tigers accumulated 11 tackles for loss.

Russell Shepard and Rueben Randall looked great.

Jordan Jefferson was fairly efficient but two bone headed plays left many fans (myself included) questioning whether he has progressed from last season.

I think it foolish to make any definitive statements about this team thus far. It is clear they have tremendously talented playmakers, but do they have the mental focus and proper coaching to win a championship? I’ve been a believer in Miles but I am getting more and more frustrated with LSU’s tendency to play to the level of the competition. I am curious to see how LSU plays this weekend against Vanderbilt. The Tigers should win this game comfortably. But I expect it to be a much tighter affair until late.

LSU 27 - Vandy 10