Tuesday, November 25, 2008

The Great Debate...

Recently I have engaged in an extended e-mail debate with a close friend of mine regarding Les Miles. To protect the innocent I will just call him “JC.” JC is a very knowledgeable football fan and quite reasonable. No crazy talk (for the most part) and all of his ideas are well thought out.

That doesn’t mean I agree with him.

But he does raise a number of valid points. What follows is our exchange. Rather than paraphrase or edit, I’ve posted the e-mails verbatim.

Ultimately, the question we are debating can be phrased in two ways:

Is the 2008 season an aberration or an indication of things to come?

OR

Is Les Miles the right person to lead the LSU football program forward?

JC: les miles = larry coker

Prowler: you mean JC = assclown

JC: you want to edit that prior comment? at some point last night [vs. Troy] while watching the game you had to have some thoughts about it.

i feel vindicated! haha...

come on, dude. seriously, where do you think he ranks in SEC coaches? i put him behind richt, meyer, spurrier, saban. at best he is 5th in the SEC. i bet most of the experts would even put nutt above him, which is debatable. be realistic and try to be unbiased and tell me where you would rank him.

how do you feel about the ole miss game next weekend?

Prowler: If I could hire any one of these guys to run my program, this would be it...

Saban
Miles
Meyer
Spurrier
Richt
Tuberville
Nutt
Brooks
Petrino
Johnson
Croom

Seriously.

I know some will never warm to Miles and that is fine. But I like the dude. I think he will be good for LSU for a long time. LSU will be in good shape next season and this recruiting class looks AWESOME. After the '09 and'10 seasons, we will take a look and compare the numbers.

LSU was hung over from last week [loss to Alabama] but the COACHES were able to get these guys in the right direction in the second half. I think that is a direct reflection of Miles. I know he could win 5 titles in a row and some people would still want to get rid of him.

As for Ole Miss...I think this win may bring these guys together. Sure LSU could go 0-3 down the stretch, but they could also go 3-0.

But you have to know where I am coming from, I am one of the 15 people left in the stands at the end of the game Saturday. (when we went down 31-3, the coker comparison came to mind) But notice that LSU beat down Miami and they quit. LSU under Miles just doesn't quit. I am not a fair weather fan or a bandwagoner. So maybe that is my bias, i don't know. But if I thought he was in over his head I would say so.

JC: i like him too. i think he is great at recruiting, which is a big part of college football. but, one of the good things about him in the past was that he hired good coordinators, which i think he did a poor job of this year. i don't think he is good at the X's and O's, so as long as he hires good coordinators, i think he is fine, especially because players want to play for him.

one thing about me is that i am not a band waggoner. i always said i didn't agree with the hire (i truly believed after that Tennessee game the first year that he was not our guy). 28-21 at OSU is not good, although most people pointed to that as a selling point. Gundy is doing better than miles did. people also pointed to his 3 wins against OU in 4 years there. that says a lot to me. how can you be good enough to beat OU 3 times, yet still have 28-21 record? so, he is able to get his team prepared for the OU game, but can't get them fired up against the other teams? is this considered good coaching?

i do agree that the fact they came back was big. however, this was troy. freeking troy. we were down 31-3 to TROY!!!! and, as much as you give the coaches credit for the last 25 minutes, you have to blame them for the first 35 minutes. so again, the coaching sucked for the first 35 minutes. you know troy should have won the game. why they continued passing in the second half is a mystery.

every team lays an egg periodically. i think we have laid 3 eggs this year (florida, georgia, and troy). but, to be down 31-3 to troy is inexcusable. i don't care that we came back and beat them. you can point to the UAB loss a couple of years ago, and i am sure there are plenty more. those losses were bad, and like i said, all teams lay eggs periodically. however, to be down 31-3 to troy? extremely poor coaching.

i still hope i am wrong. i want to win championships with miles. i disagree though that next year's team will be in good shape. i continually hear people talk about that. next year we have the same QB who you think should improve (although he appears to have regressed this season). but, we potentially lose our entire o-line other than barksdale. i don't see us being better next season. where are we going to be better? and defensively, we won't be better unless changes are made. who knows if that is going to happen.

Prowler: I hear you.

But don't you think there is something to be said about losing to the #1 team in the country in a OT game that was really physical? The players and coaches had a hangover no doubt. The fans and talking heads are saying, "the season is over." You think the players don't hear that stuff?

Miles admitted that the game plan on offense in the first half was designed to "protect" Lee from screwing up. At the half they realized that wasn't going to work and went back to a normal game plan. Plus they won. Isin't it about winning? Is winning not enough, must we win with style for it to count?

If you want to gut the defensive staff I am with you. But I'll take Miles any day of the week.

You say we "laid an egg" versus UF and UGA. WHAT? Florida has killed EVERYONE after that loss to Ole Miss. You look at the games, LSU was the MOST competitive of all. The Score was 20-14 before the Gators took over with 20 minutes left in the game. That is not "laying an egg."

As for Georgia, Lee really stuggled. Two pick sixes is tough to overcome for any team. LSU has lost to 11-0 Bama (#1 in polls), 9-1 (Florida, probably best team in the country), and 9-2 Georgia (those two losses came to bama and UF). That is nothing to be ashamed of. those teams are combined 29-3.

Last season LSU had the highest scoring offense in school history, so we know Crowton can coach. We have a freshman who is struggling. Do you think Stafford at Geogia is a bad player or poorly coached? He threw 3 picks vs. Florida.

How bout Spurrier, he got beat by 50!!! 50!!!

I know Florida has better players...but 50? Florida is a POWERFUL TEAM.

Speaking of Florida...if Urban is so good, how come he went 9-4 last season WITH THE HEISMAN WINNER?

Saban is awesome i agree, but that team quit on him last season. No doubt.

As for Miles time at OSU, let us review the time before he got there....

In 2003, he got OSU to a New Years' Day bowl for the first time since 1946....1946 dude, before Miles got there, that was the last New Years Day Bowl.

28-21 not good? Are you kidding me??

http://www.okstate.com/ViewArticle.dbml?DB_OEM_ID=200&KEY=&ATCLID=157313&SPID=143&SPSID=1423

that is the link to the OSU record book....you show me where OSU is some tremendous program...they have a lifetime losing record in football...yes, in the 100+ years of cowboy football they have lost more than they have won.

Miles still has a better winning % than Gundy, but by all means, don't let the facts get in the way of your argument. (Gundy needs to go 10-2 this season to TIE Miles 4 year record of 28-21.)

I get that some don't like Miles.

But don't throw numbers or facts at me b/c the argument won't stand up.

he's 41-9 overall, BCS Champ, SEC Champ, 2 SEC West Titles, 3-0 in bowl games, 2-0 in BCS games. 23-9 in SEC games, (11-4 in SEC road games), 18-0 in non-conference games.

If you don't like his style or think he is a goof ball or don't like the X's and O's strategy, I get that. But as for productivity, don't go there.

JC: i am going to address your points in order as below:

1) yes, teams have let downs. every week, teams have let downs. but, for us to have a let down to the point where we are down 31-3 is inexcusable. troy is not bad, but come on.

2) looking back at florida and UGA, i still think we laid an egg. for florida we have as much talent as them except at the QB position. i know they are good, but not 51-21 good over us. if we lined up and they just beat us because they were better, that would be one thing. but, we just sucked against them pure and simple. as for UGA, we are better than them, so yes, we laid an egg against them at home. as for bama, i don't think we laid an egg against them. we matched up against them well. i was less concerned about that game than any other of the losses going into the game. but, i still think we are a better team than them.

3) yes, it is about winning. but, there are warning signs. when most of your wins are coming down to the wire against average to below average teams, you need to recognize that coaching is a problem. which game would you say we played a complete game from beginning to end? i don't see one all year.

4) as for Urban, you really want to discuss this? he won a championship and came back 9-4 with a new full time QB. we are in a similar position. however, florida is the best team in the country right now and the favorite to win the national championship. for your argument to hold water, we would have to be that good next year. you think we will be in the same position as florida next year? NO!!!

5) as for miles taking OSU to a new year's bowl, that doesn't mean as much any more. there are so many bowls, and more new year's day bowls that the accomplishment isn't what it once was. besides, those were also the years that the BIG 12 was down.

6) yes, miles has a better winning percentage than gundy. miles was 28-21 and gundy is 26-20 i believe. that is nearly identical. if gundy goes 2-1 the rest of the year, then identical. so, don't throw that winning percentage thing out there. besides, i would argue that gundy's performance is better seeing as how strong the Big 12 is. 26-20 over the past 4 years is more impressive to me than 28-21 over the previous 4. can you really argue with that. so, is 28-21 good? it's average.

Prowler: These are all good points. I think the difference we have is in perception and expectation. Was I pissed that we were down 4 TD's? ABSOLUTELY. But I stayed at the game. I didn't give up and I didn't quit like so many other fans. Maybe my dedication makes me a little biased. These things happen, but the bottom line was Miles got them right and they won. I look around college football and I see quirky things all the time.

Michigan losing to App State...WVU losing to Pitt...John Cooper can't beat Michigan...USC loses to 41 point dog Stanford...Gators lose at home to Ole Piss...Bama loses to UL Monroe....Give me your analysis of those loses...Clearly Miles has never had a loss as horrific as UL Monroe or Stanford. I think Pete Carroll is a great coach...so how do you reconcile that loss? Miles has never lost to a team with a losing record.

Obviously we disagree on the issue, but I think it has to do with perception and expectations. I think he's an excellent coach, and he has exceeded all expections I had. If he never wins another SEC title, then you can say to me "i told you so." (See, I didn't say National Title b/c I don't think you can EXPECT one of those...very tough. But I think you can expect an SEC title every 5 or 6 years)

JC: i generally agree with you. there are always quirky things going on. as i mentioned, teams lay eggs every week. but to address the ones you listed below:

michigan losing to app st. - very bad loss and as a result lloyd carr had to be replaced. fans wanted him out long before that, and that just really solidified it.

USC losing to stanford - very bad loss, but at least it was to a PAC-10 team. still inexcusable, but week in and week out USC destroys all their other opponents. they play complete games every week generally, but always seem to have that one bad loss. we seldom appear to play a complete game.

WVU losing to Pitt - pitt was not a bad team.

Florida losing to ole miss - ole miss is not bad. we have a decent chance of losing to them.

Bama losing to ULM - bad loss that should never happen. saban's first year with shula's recruits. bad loss, but now he has #1 team in nation.

also, all of those losses were competitive. yes, we won and in the end you can say it was a competitive game, but i don't recall in any of those losses you mentioned the teams getting manhandled for 40 minutes. that to me is the difference.

i do like miles personality. i like having him as a coach. i just worry about what might happen. right now, i know that if we had saban or meyer, we would never slip back into mediocrity. i can't say the same with miles. i have seen too much mediocrity in games with him as coach (with some flashes of great). that's what worries me. i can't say with 100% confidence that we won't end up an average team. with coaches like saban or meyer, i would have 100% confidence that we would not end up an average team. that right there defines my issue with miles.

Feel free to chime in with your thoughts…

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Eat Mor Chikin


Usually you wait until the body is dead before doing a post-mortem autopsy. But in this case, I think the patient is essentially brain dead anyways.

* When Miles kicked Perrillioux off this team, the Tigers hopes for a 10 win season and possible West title took a severe hit. The guy needed to go, but his dismissal really hurt this team. I think LSU still had a chance in this game before Lee went down. Jefferson is way too raw to lead the Tigers from down two scores.

* Miles failed to replace Pelini with a strong defensive coordinator. I have heard that Miles was unable to secure someone from outside the program and thus gave the job to Mallory almost in default.

* The senior leadership on this team has been really poor. This group of seniors hasn’t been the “glue” which creates chemistry on a team. Outside of Quinn Johnson and Colt David, whom are you going to miss from this graduating class?

* The fourth year players on this team are from Miles first recruiting class. Given the fact that LSU was limited in scholarships that year and Miles had less than a month to recruit, it should not be a big surprise that LSU would suffer a dip this season.

* The players lost heart after the Alabama game. The loss itself was draining, but it also eliminated any chance LSU had to win the SEC West. The intensity hasn’t been there the last two weeks as the Tigers have gone down 31-3 and 21-3 to begin the games. With many fans and talking heads saying, “the season is over” after the loss to Bama, it shouldn’t be any surprise that the players felt this as well.

* On the field, I have been the most disappointed in the defensive line, receivers and kick returns. None of these areas have lived up to pre-season expectations. If I can digress a moment, I heard a talking head say after the game that LSU has the most “talented” set of receivers in the SEC. Then he goes on to say that they dropped a lot of passes. I get sick of this blanket statement of, “we have the most talent…blah…blah…blah.” Football is more than just 40 times and bench presses and vertical leaps. The mental aspect of the game is so often ignored you would think the players are mere robots programmed by coaches. The players’ ability (or inability) to focus on the task at hand is critical to success. Let’s not confuse physical ability with football “talent.”

*As bad as things are, at least LSU has not done the following this season:

Lose at home to a 2-8 team that just fired its coach and is playing out the string. (Notre Dame)

Suffer the most defeats in school history. (Michigan)

Enter a nationally televised game ranked #2 in the country and get beat by 40+. (Texas Tech)

Go winless for the first time in since 1908. (Washington)

Play in the Rose Bowl last season and have a losing record this season. (Illinois)

With Thanksgiving around the corner, let’s be thankful for what LSU has accomplished and look forward to finishing the season in Atlanta at the Peach Bowl...er...Fast Food Bowl...er...whatever.

Sunday, November 09, 2008

Bama...I give you the one finger salute!

Where to begin?

The defense looked great. Alabama scored 14 offensive points and one of those TD drives was set up by a Lee interception. Bama’s running game was held in check for the most part as the defensive line clogged holes and guys actually made tackles. I think all the talk of firing defensive coaches (from talking heads on the radio, more on that below) needs to be set aside as clearly things are clicking at this point. Curtis Taylor’s injury may be a case of addition by subtraction. Danny McCray has looked very good in the back and LSU has not had a blown coverage (at least as far as I could tell) in the past two weeks.

Offensively, Lee killed LSU. No way around it. Four picks against the #1 team in the country are too much for anyone to overcome. Lee had a few nice passes, but for the most part he struggled. As I have said repeatedly, this is frustrating process that fans will have to deal with. I know there are calls for Jordan Jefferson to get in there but you have to ask yourself one question, do you trust LSU’s staff to make the right personnel decisions? I guarantee they know way more than anyone in the public about Jefferson’s ability to lead this team on offense. Now if you ask them if they would have done things differently from day 1, I’m sure you would get a few heads nodding. Miles stated it clearly in his post game comments:

We kind of know what we’re doing with our quarterbacks, LSU coach Les Miles said. “We kind of think we don’t want to put him [Jefferson] in a tough situation just yet. He’s coming. We like him, and we talked about it several times in the game. There’s a lot to it. There’s a lot to that spot … to put a guy in there who may not be ready…”

I have total faith in Miles that he DOES know what he is doing with his quarterbacks. Jefferson will be an excellent player down the road, just not this season. Lee is LSU’s quarterback. He’s unconscious and fits the gunslinger mode. He’s also been an interception machine. Miles put it best when he said:

“I can tell you that when you’re a young quarterback and a dropped ball here and a dropped ball there and a ball that maybe should have been caught is a pick, and just everything that could possibly go wrong does, it’s hard to rebound. It’s hard for him to continue to fight, but he does. He comes back onto the field with the opportunity to win the game, and again, it’s a throw that he does not need to make. His view was, ‘I hit this one, we win it.’ What a great view. I’ve just got to coach him some more, love him and support him and make him better.

It’s all about the love.

LSU ran the ball for over 200 yards against the #2 rush defense in the country. Bama was giving up only 65 yards a game on the ground before Saturday. Props go out to Scott, Williams and the O-Line. I am looking for that productivity to continue as the season closes out.

I’ve heard a little talk on the radio from fans and some talking heads that Miles is not a good coach, he won with Saban’s players, LSU is going into the tank…blah, blah, blah. This sort of stupidity infuriates me. But I guess you must look at the source and ask, who calls into a radio show after a game? Is your life so devoid of meaning that you are willing to sit on hold on a Saturday night so you can make some asinine comments over the public airways?

Everyone needs to get a grip.

That’s not to say that Jarrett Lee did not stink Saturday night. He did. That’s not to say that he did not cost LSU the game Saturday night. He did. But step back a moment and look at the game. The player at the most important position on LSU’s team looked like crap all afternoon and LSU was still able to push the #1 team in the country, led by a 5th year senior and coached by one of the top guys in the business, to overtime. In my mind, LSU is close to being a very good team. Obviously the QB position is what is holding the Tigers back.

I think LSU fans need to get a little perspective on what the program is going thru this season. Looking back at the previous 16 years, I don’t think one freshman has ever led his team to the SEC Title game. I think many fans felt like anything less than a division championship would be a disappointment. The problem is, that was never going to happen once Perriloux was booted off the team. You want to be pissed at someone, be pissed at that clown. Once he committed to LSU in 2005, a number of other guys stopped looking at the Tigers. In 2006, the Tigers were loaded with Russell, Flynn and Perriloux. What elite QB wants to come into that situation? Even in 2007, LSU had Flynn and Perriloux, which most recruits viewed as a situation where the earliest they would see the field would be the 2010 season.

You want more perspective, look at the records of these SEC teams following their championship seasons and subsequent loss of their starting QB.

2008 LSU – 6-3 (losses to Florida, Bama and Georgia)
2007 Florida – 9-4 (losses to Auburn, Georgia, LSU and Michigan)
2006 Georgia – 9-4 (losses to Tennessee, Vandy, Florida and Kentucky)
2005 Auburn – 9-3 (losses to Georgia Tech, LSU, Wisconsin)
2004 LSU – 9-3 (losses to Auburn, Georgia and Iowa)
2002 LSU – 8-5 (losses to Virginia Tech, Auburn, Bama, Arkansas and Texas)

I present this not to justify or excuse Lee’s poor play, but rather to provide perspective and a comparison to other SEC teams in the past that have faced a similar situation to LSU. Not only did those teams lose a few games, none of them were even able to win their division. By the way, lest you forgot, the 2002 and 2004 Tigers were coached by God…er…Nick Saban. The 2008 Tigers look right in line with recent history.

Surely if America can overcome it’s past racial history and put a black man in the Whitehouse, Lee can overcome his tendency to throw back breaking pick sixes, right?