Monday, November 14, 2011
10-0...with growing doubts
To the dismay of myself and many others, Jefferson started and played the majority of snaps Saturday. He put up nice numbers, but I see no real improvement in his play. He still holds the ball too long and looks to run if the first option is not there. The inability to read through the progressions is clearly evident. The safety he gave up was classic Jefferson; the primary receiver was covered and he had no idea what to do next. So he stands there and takes a sack. Great play, bravo!
I don't know how the QB situation will play out the rest of the way, but I will stick by my preseason prediction, LSU will not win anything of note if Jefferson becomes the regular starter and sees the majority of reps. Sure, LSU is 10-0 and should be 11-0 regardless of who starts against Ole Miss. But the Tigers have not secured anything yet.
Ask yourself, do you really think Jefferson can lead this team to victories over Arkansas, Georgia and Oklahoma/Oklahoma State? (I think the winner of that game would play LSU if the Tigers win out.) Miles has pushed all the right buttons thus far, let's hope he continues to do so.
LSU 31 - Ole Miss 10
Monday, November 07, 2011
Undisputed
What we saw Saturday night in the LSU vs. Alabama game can best be described as a test of wills. The game was a throwback to big SEC games of the past with smash mouth defense and limited offensive production. This was a game that required big boy pants. I have few thoughts on the game.
* My biggest question for Alabama going into the game was whether McCarron could make throws when his team had to have a play. I think it was clear that he has a ways to go. In overtime McCarron missed Richardson on a wheel route then got sacked on third down forcing a long field goal. Trent Richardson is fantastic, but LSU held him in check for the most part. Of his 23 carries, 15 went for 3 yards or less. Remember, this is a guy that came into the game averaging about 6.5 yards per carry.
* Some fans have complained that both teams played poorly on offense. Thus for many this was not a very good game. On the first point, I think the offensive struggles were more of a reflection of the great defenses on the field than poor offensive ability. LSU and Alabama were both averaging 39 points a game coming into Saturday. As to the second point, this was a tense, hard fought heavyweight matchup. This was a game between the two best teams in the country, and while not a shoot out, there was plenty of drama.
* I feel bad for Jarrett Lee. He’s been fantastic thus far this season but was overwhelmed by the moment. Both interceptions were very poor and disappointing. I hope he starts against Western Kentucky and is able to bounce back. LSU needs Lee to be productive down the stretch. Jefferson was the guy against Alabama, but he is not the answer with upcoming games against Arkansas, a potential SEC Title game against Georgia and the bowl game.
* The talk now is about a rematch in the BCS Title game between LSU and Alabama. For the same reasons it didn’t happen in 2006, it won’t happen this year. If you recall, Ohio State and Michigan, ranked #1 and #2 respectively at the time, were both undefeated going into the season finale. OSU won by three, but in the following BCS rankings, Michigan remained at #2. The next week Florida won the SEC Title game and moved ahead of Michigan in the final BCS poll. Assuming Oregon knocks off Stanford and Oklahoma beats Oklahoma State, 11-1 Big XII Champ Oklahoma will move into that second spot. LSU went into Tuscaloosa and beat the Tide, why should the Alabama get another opportunity over a very good Oklahoma team with the same record?
* The Bama fans on the whole were pretty decent folks. We only got two F-bombs dropped on us and one Tide fan gave Chase a beer with the condition that he immediately shot gun it. As with the game, Chase put on his big boy pants and showed those Bama folks how we do it down here.
Wednesday, October 05, 2011
Monday, October 03, 2011
Stupid is as Stupid says...
-Jordan Jefferson
Everything I just wrote in the last post goes double. "I don't regret anything," says Jefferson. He takes no responsibility for anything that has happened. He doesn't think he has done anything wrong. Why should he? Everyone around him enables the guy. Regardless of the outcome of the criminal trial, Jefferson completely screwed up getting himself suspended. Yet he doesn't regret anything?!
"I can't imagine anybody in the country going through more than I did." Is this guy so deluded and disconnected from reality that he believes this crap? He got suspended from 4 football games for getting into a bar fight and kicking a guy in the face. That ranks him as a martyr?
What a complete joke.
Boo Birds Unite...
While I would like to stick to the football this week, the “hysteria” over the booing of Jordan Jefferson has really got me worked up.
I admit it, I booed. I actually booed twice. I don’t feel any guilt and don’t wish to take my boo back. I booed Jefferson. He got the loudest part of my boo. Miles got the residual as my boo began to fade as my lungs ran out of air. The second boo was shorter and was confined strictly to Jefferson.
I’m not bothered that many people disagree with the booing. Everyone has a right to their own thoughts. It bothers me that some of these people are so sanctimonious and self righteous. It bothers me that not only do they disagree with a person’s choice to boo, but that they are willing to lash out at those who booed with blanket personal attacks.
Think about it, thousands of people booed a person that ENGAGED IN VIOLENT CRIMINAL CONDUCT, yet the people that booed are “not real LSU fans, morons or idiots.” People at the game booed a person that has testified before a Grand Jury on his own behalf and the Grand Jury sent back an indictment against him. That tells me the Grand Jury DID NOT BELIEVE HIM. We know for a fact that he has lied to police about what happened and has changed his story. He has never publicly denied kicking someone in the face during that bar fight. He has hidden behind his attorney throughout.
This is the guy the “true LSU fans” want to stick up for? Obviously all these folks are OK with Jefferson’s return. Obviously all these folk are OK with a person who ENGAGED IN VIOLENT CRIMINAL CONDUCT wearing the purple and gold and representing LSU. Obviously these folks are more concerned about Jordan Jefferson’s well being and winning football games than they are about players being involved in off the field criminal conduct. I have a sneaking suspicion that if it was their brother or friend that Jefferson kicked, they would feel a good deal different about the entire situation.
Jefferson did not make a mistake. A mistake is leaving your keys in the car or forgetting to stop at the store to pick up the milk. He did wrong. He wasn’t drunk. It wasn’t an accident. He did wrong. And to tell me I don’t have the right to express myself is…well…just plain un-American.
This is my 30th season watching LSU football. I’ve got two degrees from LSU and an LSU tattoo on my right leg to boot. I was here long before Miles and long before Jefferson was even born. I’ve seen a lot of good LSU teams and plenty of bad LSU teams. But I’ve never wavered and never failed to support LSU. So I’ll be damned if someone is going to tell me or others like me that we are not “real LSU fans.” Coaches and players come and go, but the institution is where my loyalty lies, and always will.
That’s all I got this week. Thanks to my loyal readers, even the ones that didn’t boo.
By the way, Tyrann Mathieu is really, really good.
Thursday, September 29, 2011
Numbers that Count
1. 11th rated passer in SEC last season. Second to last.
2. 92nd rated passer in NCAA last season.
3. 10th in the SEC in yards per attempt.
4. 83rd in the country in completion percentage.
5. For a "QB that makes plays with his feet" he averaged a paltry 3.66 per carry in 2010. Take out the 83 yard run against Tennessee and he only averaged THREE yards a carry on the other 122 rushes.
6. He ranked OUTSIDE the top 100 in passing yards per game. I can't even tell you his rank out of the 120 FBS schools because the rankings don't post beyond 100.
7. Of the 19 SEC QB's rated for 4th quarter efficiency in 2010, Jefferson was 16th.
8. Of the 15 SEC QB's rated for 3rd down efficiency in 2010, Jefferson was rated 13th.
9. Amongst QB's, Jefferson was ranked 9th in the SEC in yards per play at 5.6.
So tell me what this guy brings to the table...
Monday, September 26, 2011
Misty Mountain Beat Down
LSU essentially blew out WVU twice, once in the the first half which ended 27-7. Then again in the second half, after the Mountaineers cut the lead to 21-27, LSU ran off three straight TD's starting off with Mo Claiborne's 99 yard KOI return.
Lee was fantastic again. His QB rating is 30 points higher than Jefferson's mark last year and with one more TD pass ties Jefferson's total from ALL of last season. This offense is fun to watch which I haven't been able to say for years.
The defense OVERALL was nothing special Saturday. There were way too many missed tackles and Smith passed for over 400 yards. However, Tyrann Mathieu did say after the game that the field was very slippery which may explain some of the poor tackling. WVU was going almost exclusively to three step drops which makes it very difficult to pressure the QB. Regardless, LSU kept the WVU recievers in front of them and didn't give up many big plays against a very good offense. Remember, WVU is ranked 3rd nationally in passing offense, 24th in total offense. Geno Smith is very talented and the Mountaineers were playing at home.
The one thing the defense did do was make big plays, none bigger than Mathieu's leaping tip of a Smith pass which he then grabbed out of the air and returned to the 1. The Tigers were +4 in the turnover department picking off Smith twice. The run defense was also stout as usual giving up only 70 yards on 22 carries.
The Tigers get Kentucky at home this weekend for the first meeting between the schools since LSU's triple OT loss in 2007. Expect another efficient performance on offense and a defense looking to improve off last week's effort. Bad news for the Wildcats.
LSU 45 - UK 13
Wednesday, September 21, 2011
A Plea for the Status Quo
Because it's not about him, it's about the LSU football program. Ask yourself, would it be in the best interest of the LSU football program for Jefferson to be reinstated?
In my opinion, no it would not.
This team has performed very well thus far and has stayed focused on the task at hand. Lee has done a good job of running the offense and minimizing negative plays. He is the clear cut starter at the most important position on the team. How many times did we hear last season, "LSU is a very good team, but Jordan Jefferson is the quarterback..."?
Bringing Jefferson back would bring a plethora of distractions and internal divisions. If he came back the first question for Miles would be, "who is starting at QB?" No matter the answer to the question, there would be some negativity, externally and internally. Fairly or not, Jefferson has been a lightening rod for criticism on this team. Were he to be put back on the field I have no doubt many fans would have a negative reaction. Last season a caller to Miles' radio show asked the coach if Jefferson had naked pictures of him. Cat calls and general disgust would only increase. There would also be locker room division, some players and coaches supporting Lee and others Jefferson.
If Lee loses a game, no one will be saying, "had Jefferson been playing, we would have won that game." But should Jefferson come in and play poorly leading to an LSU defeat, you can be assured EVERYONE, LSU fans, the media and the players would be second guessing Miles decision.
Finally, the Shady's incident won't go away. There will be a civil suit that keeps this story alive throughout the season. Jefferson's presence will keep that cloud hovering over this team.
Maybe I'm not as worried about Jefferson being on the team as I am about him actually seeing the field. Maybe i just don't trust Miles' to make the right calls on this. I just don't think I could stand to watch Jefferson in all his incompetence run that option play one more time.
Sunday, September 11, 2011
Addition by Subtraction
The past two weeks, the offense has shown a clear identity and solid productivity. How many times over the last few seasons have we seen delay of game penalties? Last second time outs to avoid a delay of game? Substitution violations? LSU's QB looking lost? None of that this season. Lee is on his way to having a very good season.
Did Mettenberger look great? I know it was Northwestern State, but good players come out and execute against inferior opponents. I was really pleased that the staff allowed Mettenberger to throw the ball. He finished 8 for 11 with 92 yards and 1 very nice TD pass to Kadrone Boone.
The defense was fantastic. LSU held the Demons to -4 yards rushing and 95 yards of total offense. LSU rotated guys in all night yet was suffocating throughout.
Next Week
Mississippi State lost a heart breaker Saturday at Auburn. MSU's QB, Chris Relf, was stuffed at the 1 yard line as time ran out. Now the Bulldogs must turn around on a short week and host LSU on Thursday night. The Tigers were able to rest key players and get plenty of reps for some younger players. Spencer Ware, who I expect to get 20 plus carries against MSU, only toted the ball 6 times against NWSU.
This will be another big test for Lee. Thursday will be his first true road game start since October 18, 2008 at South Carolina. I think his confidence will continue to grow as the Tigers get victory number three this season. Expect plenty of Ware and Ford and enough Lee to keep the chains moving. LSU's defense will match up well against State. The Bulldogs only managed 7 points against LSU last season.
LSU 33 - MSU17
Sunday, September 04, 2011
Duck Hunt
Thursday, September 01, 2011
Pre-Season Random Mussings
*I like Florida State and Alabama in the National Title game. Noles are ready in their second year under Jimbo and Alabama returns so many linemen on both sides of the ball.
*Surprise Team: West Virginia
*Flop Team: Stanford
*The Heisman Trophy is the most over hyped and overrated award in sports.
*Three games I most want to watch this season: LSU v. Alabama, Oklahoma v. Florida State, Nebraska v. Penn State.
*TV analyst I like the least: Craig James (I'm not alone either)
*TV analyst I like the most: Chris Spielman
*TV Play by Play guy I like the most: Sean McDonough
*Three things I am most interested in this upcoming season:
1. How does the fallout from scandals at USC, UNC, Ohio State and Miami affect these team's seasons?
2. Can the SEC make it 6 straight?
3. Will Les Miles ever learn that his use of the word, "want" is dramatically incorrect and makes him look like a boob?
"Now, in terms of the issue of clocking it, certainly there was every want to win that game."
SEC East
2. Georgia
3. Florida
4. Tennessee
5. Kentucky
6. Vanderbilt
*Cocky and the Bulldogs mix it up in Athens the second week of the season. Obviously the winner will have a huge leg up on the East race. South Carolina gets a nice warm up in week one against East Carolina while Georgia will play a tough opponent in Boise State. It will be tough for Georgia to maintain that emotional intensity two weeks in a row. BTW: Marcus Lattimore is a stud.
*Florida is extremely young on the offensive line. Expect trouble against the tougher teams on the schedule.
*Tennessee is going to play a number of close games this season. Don't be surprised to see a few upsets.
*Between UK and Vandy, look for one to get to 6 wins and a bowl game.
Thursday, August 25, 2011
SEC West
SEC West
1. Alabama
2. LSU
3. Arkansas
4. Miss. State
5. Auburn
6. Ole Miss
*Here is a break down of the 20 starting quarterbacks that have led their teams to the SEC Title game since 2001.
| Class | # | Record |
|---|---|---|
| Senior | 7 | 5-2 |
| Junior | 8 | 4-4 |
| Sophomore | 5 | 1-4 |
| Freshman | 0 | 0-0 |
* Obviously having an upperclassman at the helm greatly increases a team's chances to win the division. Once you actually get to Atlanta, having an upperclassman at QB is critical to victory. The only sophomore to win in the last ten years was Georgia's David Greene in 2002. Greene was a special player finishing his career with 42 victories, second most in NCAA history behind Colt McCoy. By the time he started the 2002 SEC Title Game, he had 24 starts under his belt.
* Alabama has one sophomore, A.J. McCarron who has thrown 48 passes in his career, and three freshman on the roster at the quarterback position. Sure the defense will be lights out, but is Alabama good enough to buck history and win with an untested quarterback?
* I have LSU second for two reasons. Number one, LSU's schedule is rough and the Alabama game is on the road. Two, while I am happy for Jarrett Lee that he is going to finally get his shot after a tough freshman season, it is unclear whether he can lead LSU to a title. There was no way Jefferson was good enough to bring LSU a title. But could this be a dream season for Lee? I hope so.
* Auburn’s offensive linemen have a combined 15 starts between them, that ranks 118th in the nation. Auburn is going to really struggle this season. The talking heads never appreciate the importance of an experienced offensive line.
* The Knile Davis injury really hurts Arkansas. His loss could possibly the difference between winning the division and finishing third.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Friday, August 19, 2011
Wednesday, August 03, 2011
Pay for Play, part III
Thursday, June 23, 2011
Dirty Ducks?
Oregon and LSU meet in the premier game of the first weekend of the 2011 college football season; and just like LSU’s 2010 opening opponent, Oregon will be under NCAA investigation. If you recall, last season UNC was under investigation for a number of allegations involving the football team. Now it appears Oregon is in the middle of a very suspicious set of facts which, to speak plainly, “stink to high heaven.”
